基于京冀协同视角的北京市雾霾治理研究

发布时间：2018-10-20 19:25

【摘要】：北京作为政治、经济、文化中心,近年来一直饱受雾霾困扰。严重的雾霾污染不仅影响到北京的环境友好型社会建设,还严重影响居民的日常生活和身体健康,并造成了恶劣的国际影响,其直接和间接的经济损失难以准确估量。北京的雾霾治理不仅需要自身加大治理力度,更需要京冀两地的协同。特别是在京津冀一体化的背景之下,京冀两地对于雾霾的协同治理尤显紧迫和必要。该文主要研究结论包括：首先,从理论路径研究分析,利用演化博弈模型,演绎两个非对称发展的区域间进行污染协同治理。需要经济发达、对环境需求比较强烈的地区对重视经济、忽视环境问题的地区进行生态补偿,才能达到双方合作治理雾霾的演化稳定均衡。其次,在现实路径上,通过月度数据引证了北京雾霾的主要来源。同时分析了河北省工业发展的能耗与大气污染情况,利用灰色关联度证实了北京与河北协同治理雾霾的必要性。最后,从实证分析角度,利用加入非期望产出的DEA模型得到北京与河北节能减排效率与非期望产出边际成本。其边际成本逐渐拉大的趋势为通过跨界补偿方法实现京冀地区雾霾协同治理提供了可行性,再通过Tobit分析了影响节能减排效率提升的因素。最终,基于理论和实践研究结果,提出了通过京冀协同治理解决北京雾霾污染的政策建议。创新点有以下几个方面：一是利用演化博弈从理论上验证了非对称发展区域间建立合作补偿机制的重要性和困难性,为京冀协同治理提供理论路径支持；二是通过有非期望产出的DEA模型分析了京冀区域间效率与边际成本之间的差异,并结合雾霾具体特点以及Tobit工业节能减排效率影响因素分析进行协同治理初步探讨,找到京冀合作治污的可能性与方法；三是该研究基于区域协同的视角,针对京冀具体情况找到合作治霾的切实措施,以实现双向协同目标。
[Abstract]:As a political, economic and cultural center, Beijing has been plagued by haze in recent years. The serious haze pollution not only affects the construction of the environment-friendly society in Beijing, but also seriously affects the daily life and health of the residents, and causes a bad international impact. The direct and indirect economic losses are difficult to estimate accurately. Beijing's haze governance not only needs to strengthen its own governance, but also needs the cooperation between Beijing and Hebei. Especially under the background of the integration of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, it is particularly urgent and necessary for Beijing and Hebei to cooperate in haze management. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: firstly, from the theoretical path analysis, the evolutionary game model is used to deduce the synergistic pollution control between two asymmetrical development regions. In order to achieve a stable and balanced evolution of cooperative governance of haze, it is necessary for regions with developed economy and strong demand for environment to make ecological compensation for areas that attach importance to economy and ignore environmental problems. Secondly, on the real path, the main sources of Beijing haze are cited through monthly data. At the same time, the energy consumption and air pollution of industrial development in Hebei Province are analyzed, and the necessity of coordinated treatment of haze between Beijing and Hebei is confirmed by grey correlation degree. Finally, from the perspective of empirical analysis, using the DEA model with non-expected output, the efficiency of energy saving and emission reduction and marginal cost of non-expected output in Beijing and Hebei are obtained. The trend of increasing marginal cost provides the feasibility for the realization of coordinated haze governance in Beijing-Hebei region through the method of cross-border compensation. The factors influencing the efficiency of energy saving and emission reduction are analyzed through Tobit. Finally, based on the theoretical and practical research results, some policy suggestions are put forward to solve the haze pollution in Beijing through the cooperative treatment of Beijing and Hebei. The innovation points are as follows: first, using evolutionary game theory to verify the importance and difficulty of establishing cooperative compensation mechanism between asymmetric development regions, and to provide theoretical path support for cooperative governance between Beijing and Hebei; The second is to analyze the difference between the efficiency and marginal cost of Beijing-Hebei region by DEA model with non-expected output, and combine the specific characteristics of haze and the factors influencing the efficiency of energy saving and emission reduction of Tobit industry to carry on the preliminary discussion of cooperative governance. To find out the possibility and method of cooperative pollution control between Beijing and Hebei. Third, based on the perspective of regional coordination, the paper finds practical measures to solve smog control in cooperation with Beijing and Hebei, in order to realize the goal of two-way cooperation.
【学位授予单位】：天津财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：X513

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