河南省城镇化与经济增长关系的实证研究

发布时间：2018-01-17 21:28

本文关键词：河南省城镇化与经济增长关系的实证研究　出处：《河南大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：城镇化是伴随人类社会经济发展的一种空间集聚现象，也是人类社会发展的必然产物，一个国家或地区的城镇化水平与其经济发展状况密切相关。经济增长会促进城镇化的发展，城镇化的发展也会影响经济增长。资本积累、规模经济、集聚经济、学习效应及劳动分工都是城镇经济增长的源泉，而城镇又是学习效应、资本积累及劳动分工最优效率的区域，因此，城镇已成为经济增长的重要的空间集聚载体，城镇化就成为了经济增长的重要引擎。河南省作为全国第一人口大省、第一农业大省、第一粮食生产大省，经过改革开放30多年的发展，经济建设取得了辉煌的成绩，与此同时，其城镇化发展也得到了一定的发展。但有关河南省城镇化与经济增长之间究竟存在怎样的互动关系，历来文献并未作出分析，因此研究河南省城镇化与经济增长之间的关系就具有了重要的现实意义。弄清楚这一问题，有利于河南省在推动城镇化与加快经济增长的过程中因地制宜采取合理的举策。本文首先对有关城镇化与经济增长相关的文献进行综述，并在此基础上对河南省城镇化与经济增长之间的关系进行了系统全面的分析。通过对河南省1978-2010年城镇化率与经济增长之间的相关数据利用协整检验、误差修正模型、格兰杰因果关系检验、脉冲响应分析及预测方差分解等计量分析方法，对河南省的城镇化水平与经济增长之间的关系进行了较为详细的实证研究。本文包括五部分：第一部分，导言。这部分主要包括论文的写作的研究背景、研究意义、研究目的、研究思路、方法和框架结构及论文的创新及不足。第二部分，相关文献综述。这部分主要对国内外有关城镇化与经济增长关系的文献进行梳理，包括城镇化与经济增长的相关性相关文献、经济增长促进城镇化相关文献、城镇化推动经济增长相关文献，最后对相关文献作了简要评述。第三部分，相关理论介绍。这部分主要介绍了城镇化理论，主要包括城镇化的定义及其内涵、城镇化水平的测度和城镇化发展的“S”型规律；经济增长，主要包括古典经济增长理论、新古典经济增长理论、新经济增长理论即内生经济增长理论；城镇化与经济增长之间的互动理论，主要可以分为发展经济学中二元经济结构理论、新经济地理学中的城镇化理论、新型古典经济学中的分工理论导致的城镇化理论和城市经济学中的相关理论观点。第四部分，河南省城镇化与经济增长实证研究。这部分首先介绍了论文所用的研究方法，然后利用河南省1978-2010年的时间序列数据，运用协整检验、格兰杰因果检验、脉冲响应及方差分解模型，对河南省1978年以来的城镇化与经济增长之间的动态关系进行了检验及分析。第五部分，结论及政策建议。通过实证分析发现，在当前阶段河南省经济增长对城镇化水平提高具有明显作用，城镇化水平随着经济增长而不断提高，但城镇化对经济增长的作用不明显，或者说城镇化带动经济增长的作用需要在一个较长的时间内才能得到发挥。因此，，为了保持河南省经济的快速增长，加快城镇化进程，促进河南省城镇化发展与经济增长之间形成良好的相互促进机制，应因地制宜采取适当的措施。
[Abstract]:Urbanization is a phenomenon of agglomeration space with human social and economic development, is the inevitable product of the development of human society, a country or region's urbanization level and economic development are closely related. The economic growth will promote the development of urbanization, the urbanization will also affect economic growth. The accumulation of capital, economies of scale. Agglomeration economy, learning effect and the division of labor is the source of urban economic growth, and the cities are learning effect, capital accumulation and the optimal efficiency of the regional division of labor, therefore, urban agglomeration has become the important carrier of economic growth space, urbanization has become an important engine of economic growth in Henan Province as the first. Renkoutaixing, the first major agricultural province, the first major grain producing province, after 30 years of reform and opening-up, economic construction has made brilliant achievements, at the same time, the development of Urbanization Also got certain development. But the Henan province urbanization and economic growth is how is the interaction between literature, has not made the analysis, therefore the research of relationship between urbanization and economic growth in Henan province has important practical significance. To clarify this issue, in favor of Henan Province in the process of promoting urbanization with the acceleration of economic growth in light of local conditions to take reasonable for policy.
This paper first discusses the relevant literature about urbanization and economic growth are summarized, and based on the systematic analysis on the relationship between urbanization and economic growth in Henan province. Through the relevant data of 1978-2010 in Henan province urbanization rate and economic growth by using cointegration test, error correction model, Grainger causality the relationship test, impulse response analysis and variance decomposition and measurement analysis method, the relationship between urbanization and economic growth in Henan province carried out empirical research in detail.
This article includes five parts:
The first part is introduction. This part mainly includes the research background, significance, purpose, train of thought, method and frame structure, and innovation and deficiency of the thesis.
The second part is literature review. This part is mainly on the domestic and foreign urbanization and economic growth are discussed, including the related literature correlation between urbanization and economic growth, economic growth and promote urbanization related literature, urbanization promote economic growth at the end of the relevant literature, relevant literature is reviewed briefly.
The third part introduces the related theories. This part mainly introduces the theory of urbanization, including the definition and connotation of urbanization, the urbanization level measure and urbanization development of the rule of "S"; economic growth, including the classical economic growth theory, neoclassical growth theory and new economic growth theory endogenous the theory of economic growth; the theory of interaction between urbanization and economic growth, which can be divided into two yuan in the development economics theory of economic structure, urbanization of the new economic geography theory, new classical economics division theory theory theory of urbanization and city economics perspectives lead.
The fourth part of Henan Province, urbanization and economic growth empirical research. This part introduces the research methods used in this paper, and then use the time series data of 1978-2010 in Henan Province, using cointegration test, Grainger causality test, impulse response and variance decomposition model, the dynamic relationship between urbanization and economic growth of Henan Province in 1978 since the test and analysis.
The fifth part, the conclusion and the policy suggestion. Through the empirical analysis found that in the current stage of economic growth in Henan Province on the urbanization level has obvious effect, constantly raise the level of urbanization with the economic growth and urbanization, but no obvious effect on economic growth, or the effect of urbanization on economic growth in a long the time to get to play. Therefore, in order to maintain rapid economic growth in Henan Province, to speed up the process of urbanization, promote the good mutual promotion mechanism between the development of urbanization in Henan province and the economic growth, should take appropriate measures.

【学位授予单位】：河南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F299.27;F127

【相似文献】