城乡二元结构下人口老龄化与居民消费关系研究

发布时间：2018-05-09 20:03

本文选题：人口老龄化 + 居民消费　；参考：《商业时代》2014年33期

【摘要】：21世纪以来,我国人口老龄化速度加快,社会承受着越来越重的抚养负担,我国人口与经济社会的发展正处于"未富先老"的状态下。关于城乡居民消费与老龄化关系的研究,以往的文献都是在假设城乡老龄化水平相同的情况下进行分析,但由于二元结构的存在,城乡居民收入、消费以及老龄化水平都不相同。本文基于城乡老龄化水平的差异,运用2000-2012年的省际面板数据,分别考察城乡二元结构下,老龄化对城镇和农村居民消费水平的不同影响。实证分析发现,城镇地区老龄化与居民消费水平负相关,而农村地区老龄化与居民消费的关系不显著。文章从城乡不同年龄阶段居民的收入水平、家庭结构、消费行为以及老龄化的社会影响等角度进行了分析。
[Abstract]:Since the 21st century, the aging speed of population in our country has been accelerated, the society is bearing more and more heavy burden of maintenance, and the development of population and economic society in our country is in the state of "getting old before getting rich". On the research of the relationship between urban and rural residents' consumption and aging, the previous literature is based on the assumption that the level of urban and rural aging is the same, but due to the existence of dual structure, the income of urban and rural residents, Consumption and aging levels are different. Based on the difference of aging level between urban and rural areas, this paper uses the provincial panel data from 2000 to 2012 to investigate the different effects of aging on the consumption level of urban and rural residents under the urban-rural dual structure. The empirical analysis shows that the aging in urban areas is negatively related to the consumption level of residents, but the relationship between aging and consumption in rural areas is not significant. This paper analyzes the income level, family structure, consumption behavior and the social impact of aging in urban and rural areas.
【作者单位】：西南民族大学经济学院;
【基金】：西南民族大学2014年研究生“创新型科研项目”硕士重点项目(CX2014SZ39)
【分类号】：C924.24;F126.1

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