新疆兵团耕地资源变化及其驱动力研究

发布时间：2018-04-14 04:35

  本文选题：新疆生产建设兵团 + 耕地资源变化　； 参考：《湖北农业科学》2014年12期

【摘要】：利用1990~2012年的耕地资源数据及社会经济统计数据,对新疆生产建设兵团的耕地资源变化趋势进行了分析,利用主成分分析方法定量分析兵团耕地资源变化的驱动力,认为经济因素、人口因素及农业技术因素是影响兵团耕地资源变化的主要驱动力,并建立了耕地面积与驱动因子之间的多元线性回归模型以便于未来耕地数量的预测,最后针对耕地变化的驱动力从促进兵团农业可持续发展的角度提出保护耕地的建议。
[Abstract]:Based on the data of cultivated land resources from 1990 to 2012 and social and economic statistics, the trend of cultivated land resources in Xinjiang production and Construction Corps was analyzed, and the driving force of cultivated land resources change in Xinjiang production and Construction Corps was quantitatively analyzed by principal component analysis.It is considered that economic factors, population factors and agritechnical factors are the main driving forces affecting the change of cultivated land resources in Bingtuan, and a multivariate linear regression model between cultivated land area and driving factors is established in order to predict the amount of cultivated land in the future.Finally, according to the driving force of cultivated land change, the paper puts forward some suggestions to protect cultivated land from the angle of promoting the sustainable development of agriculture in Bingtuan.
【作者单位】： 塔里木大学经济与管理学院;浙江大学中国农村发展研究院;
【基金】：新疆环塔里木经济研究中心开放课题(HTZA201301) 塔里木大学校长基金青年项目(TDSKSS1313)
【分类号】：F323.211
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本文编号：1747767