北京市水资源可持续发展动态平衡管理研究

发布时间：2018-04-17 23:25

本文选题：水资源 + 可持续发展　；参考：《管理评论》2014年05期

【摘要】：目前,水资源紧缺已成为制约北京市可持续发展的重大问题。在我国实行最严格水资源管理制度的要求下,开展北京市水资源可持续发展动态平衡管理研究,对于促进经济社会发展和提高水资源、水环境承载力具有重要意义。本研究在充分调研分析北京市水资源需求与供给现状的基础上,综合考虑水资源的自然属性与社会属性,以水资源总量控制工程管理动平衡态方程为理论基础,从北京市地表水、地下水和再生水的供给方面和生活用水、生产用水和生态用水的需求方面分别进行了预测模型的建立和计算分析,并对预测模型进行了修正。研究运用模型对2015年-2025年北京市水资源状况进行了预测分析,并对动态供需平衡关系进行了定量化描述,得到有关结论,并提出了有关政策建议。
[Abstract]:At present, the shortage of water resources has become a major problem restricting the sustainable development of Beijing.Under the requirement of implementing the strictest water resources management system in China, it is of great significance to carry out the research on the dynamic balance management of the sustainable development of water resources in Beijing for promoting the economic and social development and improving the water resources and the carrying capacity of the water environment.On the basis of full investigation and analysis of the current situation of water resources demand and supply in Beijing, this study comprehensively considers the natural and social attributes of water resources, and takes the dynamic equilibrium state equation of water resources total control project management as the theoretical basis.In this paper, the prediction models of surface water, groundwater and reclaimed water supply and domestic water, production water and ecological water demand are established and calculated respectively, and the prediction model is revised.The model is used to forecast and analyze the water resources situation in Beijing from 2015 to 2025. The dynamic balance between supply and demand is quantitatively described, and the relevant conclusions are obtained, and some policy suggestions are put forward.
【作者单位】：北京航空航天大学经济管理学院;
【分类号】：TV213.4

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