从威权到多元：泰国政治转型的动力与路径

发布时间：2018-05-10 11:25

本文选题：泰国 + 政治转型　；参考：《中国社会科学院研究生院》2011年博士论文

【摘要】：本文通过对20世纪70年代以来泰国政治发展过程的历史回顾,探究了促成其政治转型的动力与路径,并在初步把握其发展规律的基础上,分析了泰国政治前景的中长期走势。第一章绪论阐述了本文的选题意义、基本概念以及研究方法,对选题的研究现状进行了述评,并介绍了本文的结构、主要内容和创新点。本文以“政治化社会利益集团”为切入点,以“政治权力结构”为立足点,将政治转型过程抽象为“政治权力结构-经济利益结构”与“政治权力结构-政治文化传统”双重循环体系的相互磨合过程。第二章分析了泰国20世纪60年代“泰式民主”威权时期的“层级式”政治权力结构,探讨了军人集团政治主导地位形成过程中经济利益结构和政治文化传统的相应调整,回顾了60年代泰国经济起飞过程中王室-保皇派的政治复兴、曼谷政商集团的政治独立以及地方豪强势力的政治崛起。第三章分析了泰国20世纪70年代初军人威权体制的瓦解过程,70年代中后期左翼与右翼各派政治力量间的权力之争,以及80年代初半威权半多元体制的“三元制衡”政治权力结构的形成。第四章回顾了20世纪90年代初半威权半多元体制瓦解、以及城市中产阶级的政治兴起,分析了90年代无序多元体制“碎片化”格局存在的政府治理难题,探究了1997年宪法颁行所体现的政治转型要求。第五章回顾了21世纪初新资本集团的政治崛起,分析了其在国家发展道路问题上与保守派既得利益集团的分歧,探讨了2006年以来泰国政治持续动荡的根源。本文认为,泰国政治冲突难以平息的根源,在于“挺他信”阵营以新资本集团和农民群体为主的激进派与“反他信”阵营以王室-保皇派和军人集团为首的极端保守派之间难以调和的“政治权力-经济利益”分歧。本文在结语部分指出,泰国政治转型的动力源于“经济利益结构调整引起的政治化社会利益集团对政治权力的侵夺与竞争”,并将在外部因素与政治文化传统的影响下,沿着“经济开放-政治多元”目标曲折前行。从目前来看,泰国的政治发展前景将会在传统王权日趋衰退的前提下形成以新资本集团为主导的有序多元体制。
[Abstract]:By reviewing the history of Thailand's political development since the 1970s, this paper probes into the motive force and path to promote its political transformation, and on the basis of preliminary grasping its development law, analyzes the medium- and long-term trend of Thailand's political prospects. The first chapter introduces the significance, basic concepts and research methods of this paper, reviews the status quo of the topic, and introduces the structure, main content and innovation of this paper. This article regards "political social interest group" as the breakthrough point, "political power structure" as the foothold, The process of political transformation is abstracted as a process of "political power structure-economic interest structure" and "political power structure-political-cultural tradition". The second chapter analyzes the "hierarchical" political power structure during the authoritarian period of Thailand's "Thai democracy" in the 1960s, and probes into the corresponding adjustment of the economic interest structure and the political and cultural tradition during the formation of the military group's political dominant position. This paper reviews the political revival of the royal and royalist faction during Thailand's economic take-off in the 1960s, the political independence of Bangkok's political and commercial groups, and the political rise of local powerful forces. The third chapter analyzes the disintegration of Thailand's military authoritarian system in the early 1970s and the power struggle between the left-wing and right-wing political forces in the middle and late 1970s. And the formation of the political power structure of the semi-authoritarian semi-pluralistic system in the early 1980 s. The fourth chapter reviews the disintegration of the semi-authoritarian and semi-pluralistic system in the early 1990s and the political rise of the urban middle class, and analyzes the government governance problems existing in the fragmented pattern of the disordered pluralistic system in the 1990s. This paper explores the requirements of political transformation embodied in the promulgation of the 1997 Constitution. The fifth chapter reviews the political rise of New Capital Group in the early 21st century, analyzes its differences with conservative vested interest groups on the path of national development, and probes into the causes of the persistent political instability in Thailand since 2006. This paper argues that the root cause of Thailand's political conflict is difficult to settle. The "political power-economic interests" divide between the "pro-Thaksin" radical, dominated by new capital groups and farmers, and the ultra-conservatives of the anti-Thaksin camp, led by the royal family and the armymen's group, is irreconcilable. In the conclusion part, the author points out that the motive force of Thailand's political transformation comes from "the political power encroachment and competition of political interest groups caused by the adjustment of economic interest structure", and it will be influenced by external factors and political cultural tradition. Go zigzag along the goal of "open economy-political pluralism". At present, Thailand's political development prospects will form an orderly pluralistic system dominated by new capital groups under the premise of the decline of traditional Wang Quan.
【学位授予单位】：中国社会科学院研究生院
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2011
【分类号】：D733.6

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