基于综合城镇化视角的省际人口迁移格局空间分析

发布时间：2018-02-04 04:03

本文关键词： 城镇化劳动力转移人口迁移格局变化空间效应　出处：《地理科学》2017年08期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：采用第五、第六次全国人口普查数据,基于流出、流入"双向"视角解析人口迁移格局及演变过程;采用空间计量模型,阐释综合城镇化及各城镇化分量值对省际人口迁移影响的空间效应。研究结果表明:(1)2000~2010年省际人口迁移量成倍增长,人口迁出区域空间不断扩散,迁入区域空间虽无明显变化,但内部差异性变化明显;(2)省际人口迁移存在明显的空间依赖性特征,省际人口净迁入率变化明显受周边地区的正向影响;(3)综合城镇化率变化对省际人口迁入有着重要作用。(4)人口、经济和土地城镇化率变化对人口净迁入率变化具有显著影响,且经济城镇化仍为影响省际人口迁移变化的主导因素;社会城镇化率的影响并不明显。
[Abstract]:5th, 6th national census data are used to analyze the pattern and evolution of population migration from the perspective of "two-way" inflow and outflow. Spatial measurement model is used. This paper explains the spatial effect of comprehensive urbanization and its component values on interprovincial population migration. The results show that the interprovincial population migration increased exponentially from 2000 to 2010. The migration of population out of the regional space continues to spread, although there is no obvious change in the regional space, but the internal difference is obvious; (2) the interprovincial population migration has obvious spatial dependence, and the change of the net migration rate of interprovincial population is obviously positively affected by the surrounding areas; 3) the change of comprehensive urbanization rate plays an important role in the migration of interprovincial population. (4) the change of economic and land urbanization rate has a significant effect on the change of net migration rate of population. And the economic urbanization is still the main factor affecting the population migration between provinces. The influence of social urbanization rate is not obvious.
【作者单位】：中国科学院水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所山区发展研究中心;中国科学院大学;成都信息工程大学管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41471469) 中国科学院成都山地灾害与环境研究所青年百人项目(SDSQB-2015-01)资助~~
【分类号】：C922
【正文快照】： 综合城镇化包含人口城镇化、经济城镇化、土地城镇化、社会城镇化多个维度[1]。2000年以来,中国城镇化速度加快提升、格局加快调整和变化,省际人口流动呈急剧增长态势,2010年流动人口数量占中国人口总量比例已达到16.48%,迁移格局亦呈显著的空间分异特征。探究多维度城镇化视

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